GeoBit Threat Matrix — Country Risk by Category

GeoBit Threat Matrix snapshot 2026-10-16 · 195 countries · research refreshed every Monday

Composite weights — Armed Conflict 40% · Insurgency / Terror 25% · Crime / Gangs 20% · Civil Unrest 15%. Each cell 0–100: how active that category is in the country over the past week; ▲▼ = change vs the previous snapshot. Overall = the higher of GeoBit's analyst threat score and this weighted composite, so a country never reads below what its event record supports.

Country	Armed Conflictw 0.40	Insurgency / Terrorw 0.25	Crime / Gangsw 0.20	Civil Unrestw 0.15	Cyber / Outagelive signal	Overallcomposite score
GLOBAL195 countries	15	18	24	18	12	29
#1Ukraine	95	63	31	93	51	100
#2Sudan	95	85	49	67	25	98
#3Palestinian Territories	95	77	32	66	16	97
#4Nigeria	76	78	77	61	5	97
#5Myanmar	89	86	91	64	19	97
#6Iran	83	54	15	84	17	96
#7Somalia	68	77	69	18	5	96
#8Mexico	58	51	89	66	11	96
#9Syria	76	75	55	11	5	95
#10Israel	95	68	16	52	72	95
#11Russia	86	21	22	12	40	95
#12DR Congo	79	78	32	30	5	92
#13Ethiopia	84	82	35	50	11	81
#14Pakistan	51	86	66	54	12	81
#15Yemen	94	91	57	38	7	77
#16Burkina Faso	63	88	55	21	5	76
#17Haiti	48	80	95	43	5	76
#18Afghanistan	75	71	62	33	4	74
#19Iraq	57	65	56	43	8	72
#20Lebanon	76	44	21	40	7	72
#21Ecuador	42	40	85	45	4	70
#22Mali	70	85	43	27	4	69
#23India	8	42	23	43	9	66
#24Egypt	4	8	33	8	10	66
#25Niger	63	78	50	11	4	66
#26Mozambique	55	67	64	36	5	66
#27Colombia	58	71	87	41	8	66
#28Uganda	3	11	33	36	9	65
#29Kenya	48	48	30	36	6	65
#30Libya	31	46	34	49	7	65
#31Cameroon	17	65	65	11	4	65
#32South Sudan	44	22	33	36	5	65
#33Chad	39	65	9	8	3	65
#34Central African Republic	64	72	45	18	11	65
#35Congo	70	68	24	12	7	62
#36Jamaica	2	11	31	29	6	57
#37Greece	4	10	18	43	13	57
#38Sweden	3	17	52	24	19	48
#39Philippines	42	33	60	18	31	48
#40Venezuela	5	14	80	23	8	45
#41Azerbaijan	7	11	16	11	33	44
#42Turkey	35	15	19	33	13	44
#43Bahrain	12	7	15	31	24	44
#44Bolivia	4	22	74	37	5	42
#45Nepal	3	8	21	16	8	41
#46Brazil	4	10	78	23	12	41
#47Poland	7	3	20	23	18	40
#48Angola	3	4	17	13	4	40
#49Papua New Guinea	4	12	32	23	6	39
#50Peru	39	7	75	26	4	37
#51Benin	5	50	22	8	9	37
#52Thailand	32	18	13	7	18	36
#53Indonesia	11	33	23	37	10	36
#54Saudi Arabia	39	36	12	21	14	36
#55Norway	3	4	20	8	49	35
#56Panama	4	2	21	28	3	35
#57Oman	18	4	4	2	4	35
#58Morocco	4	43	17	64	15	34
#59Guatemala	7	16	79	22	3	34
#60Argentina	1	3	24	18	6	33
#61Austria	3	12	14	9	31	33
#62Tanzania	3	9	18	24	8	32
#63Gabon	4	4	16	11	11	32
#64Ivory Coast	3	45	14	17	5	32
#65United States	7	17	27	23	31	32
#66Algeria	16	47	25	14	8	31
#67Bangladesh	4	55	67	18	7	31
#68Germany	5	11	14	21	23	30
#69France	3	8	20	67	20	29
#70Belgium	3	7	26	69	11	28
#71Netherlands	2	4	22	18	26	28
#72Romania	10	2	14	4	19	28
#73Iceland	1	1	14	4	3	28
#74Fiji	5	5	13	7	5	28
#75El Salvador	3	4	22	6	3	28
#76Tunisia	2	18	14	27	17	28
#77Ghana	8	16	31	13	6	28
#78Kuwait	24	30	11	5	17	27
#79South Africa	4	11	71	28	14	27
#80Eritrea	15	4	4	5	3	24
#81Paraguay	4	15	84	12	9	24
#82Honduras	5	12	82	12	5	23
#83Spain	5	7	19	64	10	23
#84Rwanda	7	9	18	10	17	22
#85Jordan	17	20	12	18	8	22
#86United Kingdom	5	11	23	21	21	21
#87Bahamas	5	3	20	6	5	21
#88Kazakhstan	3	5	8	12	17	21
#89Samoa	1	1	10	3	3	21
#90Senegal	6	11	17	17	9	21
#91Trinidad and Tobago	2	11	59	22	6	21
#92Sri Lanka	3	4	15	15	4	20
#93Cambodia	3	3	14	7	6	20
#94Togo	4	14	8	8	3	20
#95Serbia	3	10	11	17	9	19
#96Italy	3	9	25	26	32	19
#97Albania	2	2	17	19	5	19
#98North Korea	10	3	5	3	22	19
#99Djibouti	5	5	18	4	3	18
#100Georgia	16	8	18	32	17	18
#101Burundi	16	25	17	14	5	18
#102Nicaragua	4	3	14	14	4	18
#103Dominican Republic	3	3	26	10	11	18
#104Montenegro	3	4	16	17	22	18
#105South Korea	18	4	9	10	54	17
#106Portugal	2	2	11	15	13	17
#107Belize	4	4	25	7	5	17
#108Laos	4	8	63	5	5	17
#109Zambia	2	2	15	17	11	17
#110Australia	3	4	16	8	22	17
#111Denmark	3	6	17	11	19	17
#112Costa Rica	3	4	34	11	30	17
#113China	7	5	12	10	29	17
#114Madagascar	10	17	27	23	7	17
#115Guinea	5	40	12	16	5	17
#116Japan	2	3	8	4	8	16
#117Hungary	3	3	10	8	7	16
#118Mauritania	4	5	12	8	4	16
#119Guinea-Bissau	8	4	13	51	3	16
#120Malaysia	3	3	22	6	48	15
#121Kyrgyzstan	2	3	7	8	3	15
#122Cuba	3	7	21	50	16	15
#123Saint Kitts and Nevis	2	2	68	3	2	15
#124Zimbabwe	2	3	32	8	10	14
#125Ireland	2	4	19	25	22	14
#126Guyana	4	2	19	5	4	14
#127Namibia	2	2	12	4	7	14
#128Canada	3	5	18	14	43	14
#129United Arab Emirates	1	3	8	3	25	14
#130Slovakia	3	7	19	11	15	14
#131Tajikistan	3	8	15	6	4	14
#132Chile	2	4	18	54	15	14
#133Estonia	5	5	8	5	15	13
#134Kosovo	3	4	11	47	5	13
#135Moldova	10	5	12	17	18	13
#136Saint Vincent	2	3	21	5	4	13
#137Uruguay	2	4	21	12	9	12
#138Bosnia and Herzegovina	4	4	16	8	6	12
#139Maldives	2	5	14	23	3	12
#140East Timor	1	2	8	4	4	11
#141Sierra Leone	3	4	13	26	31	11
#142Equatorial Guinea	2	1	4	4	8	11
#143Lithuania	9	5	7	4	33	11
#144Qatar	6	3	5	3	7	11
#145Taiwan	7	1	9	10	17	10
#146Mongolia	2	2	10	6	5	10
#147Belarus	5	3	10	22	25	10
#148Armenia	11	4	8	15	14	10
#149Malta	2	4	13	5	14	10
#150Eswatini	2	3	10	9	11	9
#151Latvia	6	16	6	3	21	9
#152Uzbekistan	2	4	10	6	12	9
#153Liberia	2	3	22	4	25	9
#154Solomon Islands	2	2	18	4	3	9
#155Comoros	3	2	9	12	5	8
#156Switzerland	2	2	9	7	18	8
#157North Macedonia	1	3	8	9	4	8
#158Lesotho	2	2	8	7	4	8
#159New Zealand	1	2	17	3	22	8
#160Slovenia	2	3	8	5	3	8
#161Vanuatu	1	1	8	3	3	7
#162Czech Republic	4	4	8	9	26	7
#163Croatia	2	4	8	6	5	7
#164Botswana	2	2	14	9	5	7
#165Finland	4	4	8	5	7	7
#166Andorra	1	1	18	5	4	7
#167Bulgaria	4	4	16	6	46	7
#168Malawi	3	3	15	11	4	7
#169Saint Lucia	1	2	14	3	2	6
#170Vietnam	2	3	10	5	16	6
#171Cyprus	4	4	8	7	100	6
#172Suriname	2	1	12	5	4	6
#173Antigua and Barbuda	1	1	15	3	3	6
#174Cape Verde	3	2	14	7	5	6
#175Gambia	4	4	11	9	4	6
#176Brunei	1	1	4	2	3	5
#177Grenada	1	1	10	5	2	5
#178Luxembourg	3	2	6	3	4	5
#179Mauritius	3	3	11	7	4	5
#180Barbados	2	3	13	4	4	5
#181Sao Tome and Principe	2	1	5	5	2	4
#182Singapore	3	3	7	4	16	4
#183Palau	3	1	5	3	3	4
#184Dominica	2	2	12	5	2	4
#185Bhutan	3	2	8	4	6	4
#186Turkmenistan	1	2	5	8	3	3
#187San Marino	1	1	4	1	2	3
#188Monaco	1	1	5	2	4	3
#189Kiribati	1	1	3	2	1	3
#190Seychelles	1	1	8	3	2	3
#191Marshall Islands	1	1	4	2	2	2
#192Micronesia	1	1	3	2	2	2
#193Tonga	1	1	5	3	2	2
#194Liechtenstein	1	1	4	1	2	2
#195Nauru	1	1	3	2	2	2

Every cell is a live web-searched rating of the past week (refreshed every Monday), fused with GeoBit's conflict, crime, protest and cyber feeds. A snapshot is saved daily so the matrix is comparable over time. ⬇ Download today's CSV · latest · This is the free weekly-researched snapshot — the full platform maps any of these countries on demand. Sign up →